While I agree McCain is a less than impressive candidate, the fact is, only about 33% of registered voters in this Country are Republican. His head to head numbers suggest a fair amount of Democrat and Independent support. That McCain is now officially on Bush's leash is GOING to hurt.
Those head to head numbers have remained steady since before the primaries; then overnight McCain loses 3 points to EACH Democratic candidate. I'm going to make a prediction that McCain will lose another 5 points to each Dem candidate by Friday 3/14. Right now he has 56.7 Republican support, if that number starts dropping, he's screwed; 56.7 Republican support translates to about 19% of registered voters.
Reply to: comm-600234335@craigslist.org
Date: 2008-03-08, 9:15PM PST
Statistically, those polling numbers are essentially the same. Since polling numbers usually have a perceived 3-5% error, there has been no verifiable drop for McCain. The White House really tried to play Bush's endorsement of McCain very low key. Bush even went on to say during his endorsement that he hopes his endorsement wouldn't hurt McCain, and that he would endorse Obama or Clinton instead if he thought it would help McCain's chances.
McCain doesn't need Bush to sabotage his campaign. He is perfectly capable of doing that himself. Having no significant differences between himself and Clinton or Obama besides party affiliation name, I don't think McCain will galvanize enough of the Republican base to get out and vote for him. Many Republicans see McCain as an ideological Democrat.
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